Alabama completed closing season as SEC champion through beating Georgia, however then misplaced to that very same Georgia staff within the Faculty Soccer Playoff Nationwide Championship.
What does the 2022 soccer season dangle in retailer for the Red Tide?
Not too long ago, the Soccer Energy Index prediction system went to paintings calculating the chances of Alabama successful every sport on its time table.
Week 1: vs. Utah State
Now not a lot of a risk right here for the Tide, who do not have a lot bother towards the visiting Aggies, however this opponent is a staff on the upward push.
Utah State went 11-3 in Blake Anderson’s first trip, completing at No. 24 within the AP Most sensible 25 ratings, and beat Oregon State in a bowl sport.
ESPN FPI win chance: 99.2%
Week 2: at Texas
In line with the FPI computer systems, this must be Alabama’s hardest sport of the season. It comes at the street, on campus, towards a significant faculty soccer energy, albeit one who hasn’t been a countrywide danger for a while.
Now not since Alabama and Texas met on the Rose Bowl within the BCS nationwide identify sport, Nick Saban’s first championship with the Tide. Since then, Alabama has long gone nowhere however up, and Texas nowhere however down.
Texas has a forged 1-2 punch at receiver and working again, however is hanging out an untested product at quarterback in Quinn Ewers, and feature a defensive unit that struggled in all stages a yr in the past.
ESPN FPI win chance: 75.3%
Week 3: vs. Louisiana Monroe
Do not lose any sleep over the Week 3 date with the Warhawks both, who’re coming off a four-win season in 2021, a slight growth from its 0-10 trip the yr earlier than.
Monroe infamously beat the Tide at Bryant-Denny in Nick Saban’s first yr at the Bama sideline, however he were given his revenge in a 34-0 win in 2015. Be expecting extra of that 2nd assembly as a template for this one.
ESPN FPI win chance: 99.8%
Week 4: vs. Vanderbilt
First-year head trainer Clark Lea inherited a large number closing yr, and as ordinary because it sounds, the Commodores’ 0-8 SEC mark in 2021 was once in truth an growth (Vandy went 0-9 in convention in 2020).
Vanderbilt accounted for just below 16 issues according to sport a yr in the past and this protection allowed virtually 40 issues every day trip towards SEC opposition.
ESPN FPI win chance: 99.3%
Week 5: at Arkansas
The wonder of the SEC West closing season, Arkansas beat 3 ranked groups and knocked off Penn State through two TDs within the bowl sport.
And performed the Tide lovely shut, too, strolling out of Bryant-Denny at the fallacious finish of a seven-point sport a yr in the past.
KJ Jefferson returns at quarterback, however loses celebrity receiver Treylon Burks, and the Hogs protection brings again simply 4 anticipated returning starters.
ESPN FPI win chance: 88%
Week 6: vs. Texas A&M
Jimbo Fisher has recruited this program into Faculty Soccer Playoff rivalry, however it could nonetheless get beat on any given Saturday.
Final season was once evidence of that, because the Aggies each beat No. 1 Alabama however nonetheless misplaced 4 different SEC West video games, together with at Ole Pass over through 10 closing November.
A&M involves T-The city to take a look at its success once more in a significant matchup that would to find each those groups undefeated and having a look to get a very important leg-up within the department standings.
ESPN FPI win chance: 90.9%
Week 7: at Tennessee
You’ll set your watch to Alabama beating Tennessee within the 3rd Saturday in October and lighting fixtures up the ones cigars within the locker room afterwards.
Josh Heupel did outpace expectancies in 12 months 1, particularly with quarterback Hendon Hooker riding an offense that ranked No. 9 in faculty soccer a yr in the past.
However the Vols’ defensive again seven may be very a lot a piece in development after permitting 34 issues according to sport towards SEC opposition closing fall.
ESPN FPI win chance: 88.1%
Week 8: vs. Mississippi State
Bama’s protection had no bother grounding the so-called Air Raid in closing yr’s assembly, a 49-9 beatdown amid the cowbell refrain.
MSU misplaced its main receiver from that unit, however the Bulldogs additionally deliver again 8 starters on a protection that positioned No. 4 within the SEC and allowed underneath 6 yards according to play in convention video games.
Will Rogers returns at quarterback after piling up virtually 5,000 yards with 36 touchdowns closing season.
ESPN FPI win chance: 92.8%
Week 9: at LSU
Arguably the largest query mark within the SEC, if now not faculty soccer, this season. Brian Kelly steps right into a program lengthy on attainable, however quick on effects.
LSU has forged perimeter pace, however primary questions at defensive again, offensive line, and quarterback, and sure, at head trainer.
Kelly left Notre Dame as its winningest trainer if now not additionally person who struggled towards Southern groups (together with Alabama, which thrashed the Irish in a BCS identify fit).
ESPN FPI win chance: 81.5%
Week 10: at Ole Pass over
Final time the Tide went to Oxford, it wanted 63 issues to return out with a win. Alabama may not want that many this time, now not with what figures to be an excessively new glance Rebels offense.
Matt Corral is long gone, along with working backs Henry Parrish Jr., Jerrion Ealy, and Snoop Conner and receivers Braylon Sanders and Dontario Drummond.
Ole Pass over appeared higher on protection in ’21 and brings again six starters, whilst it scored quarterback Jaxson Dart and working again Zach Evans within the switch portal.
ESPN FPI win chance: 82.5%
Week 11: vs. Austin Peay
The normal late-season gimme brings the Governors to Tuscaloosa, wedged between a go back and forth to Ole Pass over and the house finale towards Auburn.
Austin Peay was once a 6-5 staff a yr in the past, 6-0 in video games when it scored no less than 30 issues. Do not be expecting Bama’s starters to play so much on this one or for the Govs to get any place close to 30 issues.
ESPN FPI win chance: 99.8%
Week 12: vs. Auburn
Auburn’s protection will lose the likes of Roger McCreary, Smoke Monday, and Zakoby McClain, and should fill some gaps and to find intensity underneath first-year coordinator Jeff Schmedding. Final season’s unit was once forged, permitting about 3 TDs according to sport.
Auburn can run the ball with Tank Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter, however must plug in a brand new quarterback with Bo Nix long gone and holes at receiver.
Reasonably the laundry listing for an already embattled head trainer in Bryan Harsin, who can have some bother successful greater than the six video games he did closing season.
ESPN FPI win chance: 89.9%
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